Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.149664 0.173142 0.199066 0.229812 0.265283 0.304927 0.352609
2025-11-09 0.107664 0.137757 0.174407 0.222321 0.283329 0.358454 0.458079
2025-11-16 0.089618 0.122989 0.166494 0.227354 0.310335 0.419621 0.574702
2025-11-23 0.076218 0.110762 0.158373 0.228761 0.330247 0.471433 0.683161
2025-11-30 0.066941 0.102228 0.153259 0.232405 0.352170 0.526870 0.801678
2025-12-07 0.057602 0.091967 0.143858 0.227867 0.360616 0.562652 0.894356
2025-12-14 0.050502 0.083977 0.136557 0.225085 0.370619 0.600859 0.993923
2025-12-21 0.045779 0.079043 0.133232 0.227841 0.389165 0.653689 1.121886
2025-12-28 0.043185 0.077232 0.134617 0.238261 0.421128 0.731160 1.298707
2026-01-04 0.040229 0.074373 0.133803 0.244631 0.446576 0.799912 1.467625
2026-01-11 0.037476 0.071505 0.132567 0.249950 0.470481 0.868043 1.642332
2026-01-18 0.034592 0.068020 0.129777 0.251990 0.488395 0.926903 1.805870
2026-01-25 0.031307 0.063441 0.124564 0.249082 0.497074 0.970368 1.946731
2026-02-01 0.027787 0.057989 0.117094 0.240956 0.494765 0.992810 2.049457
2026-02-08 0.026170 0.056172 0.116504 0.246409 0.519943 1.071143 2.272334
2026-02-15 0.024318 0.053636 0.114160 0.247933 0.537113 1.134979 2.472029
2026-02-22 0.022880 0.051807 0.113054 0.251882 0.559688 1.211983 2.707601
2026-03-01 0.020819 0.048358 0.108124 0.246964 0.562486 1.247407 2.856427
2026-03-08 0.019126 0.045542 0.104259 0.243950 0.569094 1.291557 3.029208
2026-03-15 0.018046 0.044016 0.103096 0.246936 0.589587 1.368348 3.284615
2026-03-22 0.017629 0.044012 0.105395 0.258225 0.630558 1.495492 3.671327
2026-03-29 0.016935 0.043251 0.105842 0.265127 0.661797 1.603180 4.023012
2026-04-05 0.016213 0.042340 0.105828 0.270889 0.690856 1.708554 4.380299